Nevada vs UNLV 10/13/2012

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Nevada is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over UNLV. Cody Fajardo is averaging 215 passing yards and 1.43 TDs per simulation and Stefphon Jefferson is projected for 123 rushing yards and a 81% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where UNLV wins, Nick Sherry averages 1.81 TD passes vs 0.48 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.96 TDs to 0.7 interceptions. Tim Cornett averages 117 rushing yards and 1.01 rushing TDs when UNLV wins and 103 yards and 0.56 TDs in losses. Nevada has a 29% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UNLV +10

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